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History Says Eight MLB Teams Are Already Almost Hopeless in Playoff Race
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sports1d ago

History Says Eight MLB Teams Are Already Almost Hopeless in Playoff Race

  • Analysts say eight teams are almost hopeless in the playoff race after 54 games, highlighting poor starts for major contenders.
  • A 'Line of Doom' is set at 23–31, suggesting teams that start 23–31 are unlikely to salvage a playoff spot.
  • Since 1995 wild-card era, only the Astros in 2005 made the postseason after a 20–34 start.
  • Since 2022 expansion, only one team (2024 Mets) from 23–31 or worse reached the playoffs.
  • The article lists teams like Mariners, Rangers, Blue Jays among the worst in the early season stretch.
  • The odds referenced come from Baseball Reference, reflecting current playoff chances.
  • The piece emphasizes that a slow start in a long season does not guarantee failure, but lowers odds substantially.
  • The Nationals are not listed; the focus remains on the bottom-ranked teams relative to playoff chances.
  • The article frames the 12-team playoff field as insufficient to forgive a poor start.
  • The summary includes the notion that even with modern formats, strong early performance remains critical.
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