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world1d ago
Was the Iran war leverage or a lifeline for Tehran?
- The Iran war left Tehran weaker militarily, politically, and economically, prompting questions about leverage in any new talks.
- Experts disagree on what comes next: one sees relief for Tehran, the other warns about costs to ordinary Iranians.
- Maleki argues the conflict was unavoidable and Tehran may now gain relief before pressure fully takes effect.
- Juneau cautions that a weakened regime could still burden ordinary Iranians and curb protests.
- The talks could extend a ceasefire and open a new phase of negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program.
- Rising domestic unrest and economic strain compound Tehran's negotiation calculus.
- Analysts note Iran’s regional posture has been damaged, with key infrastructure hit and leadership losses.
- The street rallies in Iran have varied in scale but remain a barometer of internal opinion on negotiations.
- Qatar’s limits on direct cash to Iran could constrain Tehran’s economic relief options in talks.
- The report underscores a broader risk: a temporary deal could delay political change without solving underlying issues.
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