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world13h ago
Trump opened Pandora's box but we can shape Iran: TOBIAS ELLWOOD
- Trump orders air strikes against Iran in a move described as Operation Epic Fury, marking a dramatic escalation.
- Analyst Tobias Ellwood argues the action opened a Pandora’s box and requires a clear end state beyond force.
- Ellwood warns that overwhelming force cannot replace a political plan for Iran’s future.
- Iran’s proxies and regional influence complicate the prospect of a post-strike settlement.
- The IRGC is described as an embedded power structure with broad economic and military reach in Iran.
- Ellwood cautions there is no unified Iranian opposition ready to take power.
- The piece notes Western hesitation among allies about backing Washington’s approach.
- The article links potential disruptions to Hormuz shipping and cyber operations to the conflict.
- Ellwood emphasizes the need to consider what happens inside Iran if regimes fall.
- The piece frames Iran’s future as a test of leadership and a chance to shape a new chapter.
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