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Warning that petrol prices in Australian could hit $3 a litre
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business16h ago

Warning that petrol prices in Australian could hit $3 a litre

  • Westpac warns petrol prices in Australia could rise toward $3 a litre if oil supply disruptions persist in the Middle East.
  • A prolonged oil shock could lift Brent crude to around US$185 per barrel in a severe disruption scenario.
  • The modelling ties higher energy costs to broader inflation, potentially affecting groceries, airfares and mortgage rates.
  • Westpac based its analysis on the Oxford Economics Global Economic Model to test oil supply shock effects.
  • Reserve Bank of Australia officials warned inflation could rise if energy costs stay elevated.
  • The Strait of Hormuz remains a critical chokepoint, with significant portions of global oil trade at stake.
  • Oil market reactions could ripple into everyday prices through higher transport and energy costs.
  • If oil rises to $100 per barrel and remains there, interest rates may be 25 basis points higher longer term.
  • The report notes that energy costs can influence the overall inflation trajectory and policy responses.
  • Insurers have reportedly withdrawn cover for ships around the Hormuz region as a precaution.
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