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science5h ago
Satellites Could Start Smashing into Each Other in Less Than Three Days, Study Finds
Petapixel.com and 1 more
- New research warns that solar storms could trigger a 2.8-day window to a catastrophic collision in low Earth orbit.
- The CRASH Clock metric estimates debris risk if satellites lose maneuvering control.
- Researchers say the risk comes from crowded, maneuver-dependent orbits that need constant control.
- Solar storms can heat Earth's atmosphere, increasing drag and disrupting satellite positions.
- The study cites the 2024 Gannon Storm as an example of widespread orbital adjustments.
- Loss of command could allow a debris cascade that limits space access for generations.
- The analysis stresses that warnings may not provide enough time to prevent disasters.
- Mega-constellations offer benefits but increase dependence on continuous control.
- The findings emphasize the need for robust, resilient systems to mitigate risks.
- The paper notes that loss of command could dramatically accelerate collision risks compared to 2018.
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