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politics11h ago
Column: A Republican California governor? It's possible, but a long shot
- The article assesses whether a Republican could win California’s governor race in 2026 under the open primary system.
- Top-two primary could allow two Republicans to advance if Democratic candidates split the vote.
- Two Republicans advancing to the general could happen despite California’s Democratic leaning.
- Political simulations show a non-zero chance of two Republicans in the top two.
- Democrats could face a recall if a Republican wins the governor’s race, a scenario echoed since 2003.
- California’s electorate is heavily Democratic, complicating Republican prospects.
- The field includes multiple high-profile Democrats and two major Republican candidates.
- The filing deadline for the primary is March 6, with the June 2 primary date.
- Experts warn that open primaries can produce unexpected outcomes in California politics.
- The piece cites a 2012 case where vote-splitting among Democrats affected a race as a historical example.
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