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What Would a Sinners Surge Look Like?
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What Would a Sinners Surge Look Like?

  • Sinners could gain momentum if upcoming precursors favor it, signaling a potential Best Picture surge.
  • BAFTA nominations give Sinners international strength, though One Battle After Another still leads in overall overseas performance.
  • PGA Awards are seen as a potential game changer if Sinners wins, given their track record predicting Best Picture.
  • SAG/Actors Awards are viewed as a critical moment; a cast win could propel Sinners toward Oscar glory.
  • The article emphasizes tracking signs at each remaining precursor to gauge real momentum for Sinners.
  • Non-industry awards and critics groups may serve as early indicators of broader cultural support for Sinners.
  • The author frames Sinners as a mainstream hit with a large ensemble, mirroring past SAG-winning profiles.
  • The piece positions Sinners as the 'bigger' movie in the debate, influencing downstream awards outcomes.
  • The analysis treats Sinners’ nomination haul as a strength, but notes momentum must be sustained across categories.
  • The article describes Oscar voting as fluid, with final outcomes depending on juries and momentum.
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