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business1d ago
Morgan Stanley questions whether AI has made the US economy less responsive to market forces
- Morgan Stanley warns AI infrastructure spend may be inelastic, reshaping how shocks affect the economy.
- Spending is described as continuing despite higher costs, suggesting inelastic demand for AI infrastructure.
- Data center investments alone contributed about a quarter of US GDP growth in 2025, according to the report.
- Analysts contrast AI optimism with a risk profile that resembles a traditional construction boom.
- Domestic economic benefits may be thinner than headline spending due to overseas chip manufacturing.
- The study suggests AI capex could influence monetary policy effectiveness if growth remains robust.
- Morgan Stanley projects 3.2% global GDP growth in 2026, with AI spending a major driver.
- Investors may find durable demand in semiconductors and data-center construction due to AI capex.
- Morgan Stanley notes a shift from consumer-led growth to physical infrastructure as the engine of expansion.
- The report highlights potential implications for investors and policymakers amid AI-scale investments.
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