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What the Iran War Means for the “Axis of Resistance”
- Latest development shows Shiite groups increasingly willing to engage in conflict amid ongoing Iran war in the region.
- Hezbollah defied blowback by entering the war in March to support Iran, widening conflict in Shiite-populated areas.
- Iraq’s Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani urged restraint, signaling cautious leadership amid potential escalation.
- The Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) face strikes that complicate Iraq’s security landscape and governmental leverage.
- Pakistan and Bahrain saw protests by Shiite groups, reflecting regional spillover of Iran war narratives.
- Iraq’s PMF is a state-partnered force, complicating attempts to deter militancy without risking state stability.
- The war could reconstitute parts of the axis of resistance from below, not via Tehran’s orchestration but local fear and mobilization.
- Lebanon faces potential prolonged conflict as Rafah-like scenarios threaten Shiite communities there.
- Regional Shiite communities view developments as evidence of a perceived disadvantage in regional power balance.
- The article emphasizes a feedback loop where fear prompts mobilization, which in turn heightens fear among Shiites.
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