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Unpacking the bullish stock-market forecasts from Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan for 2026
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Unpacking the bullish stock-market forecasts from Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan for 2026

  • JPMorgan sets a 2026 S&P 500 target of 7,500, implying roughly 10% upside driven by earnings growth
  • Morgan Stanley projects a 2026 S&P 500 target of 7,800, about 14% upside, aided by a rolling recovery and AI gains
  • Both banks view AI productivity gains as a key driver of higher profits in 2026
  • Analysts warn past forecasts have undershot actual results, highlighting uncertainty in 2024 results
  • The outlook emphasizes earnings growth as the main driver of upside for 2026
  • The analysis notes a resilient economy will support that earnings expansion into 2026
  • AI-driven productivity gains are highlighted as a multiplier for profits in 2026
  • The piece originates from BI's coverage and the First Trade newsletter
  • Investors should monitor forecast updates as 2026 outlook evolves
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