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How the IMF can help Venezuela stabilize its economy
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How the IMF can help Venezuela stabilize its economy

  • The IMF could help Venezuela stabilize its economy through a multilateral debt restructuring backed by new LIOA safeguards.
  • US support remains critical, as Washington’s leverage shapes Venezuela’s access to IMF resources and reforms.
  • Debt relief will be needed, with estimates suggesting substantial haircuts to restore debt sustainability.
  • The IMF’s LIOA policy reform allows lending into official arrears to coordinate with large creditors.
  • Chinas role is pivotal; Beijing must decide between constructive participation or sidelined risk if it resists.
  • Policy steps include recognizing a transitional government and lifting sanctions to unlock IMF engagement.
  • Unfreezing about five billion SDRs could provide immediate liquidity for stabilization needs.
  • Early creditor coordination is essential to set realistic recovery expectations and deter holdouts.
  • The plan emphasizes strict program conditionality to ensure comparable treatment and curb preferential creditor payments.
  • Experts stress that IMF engagement offers credibility to debt sustainability analyses and broader creditor cooperation.
  • The article frames the plan as a test for IMF reforms and multilateral discipline in debt restructurings.
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