8legs: Guardian council

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Is regime change really possible in Iran?

Analysts say Iran’s regime is built to handle shocks and has a clear transfer process for leadership after the current leader.
Experts caution that regime change would require massive street pressure to topple the government.
Analysts discuss the U.S. approach, weighing external shocks against possible negotiations with Iran’s leadership.
Experts note most Israeli leaders see regime collapse in Iran as unlikely to be smoothly managed.
Mojtaba Khamenei is widely tipped to be named successor if leadership changes occur.
Observers warn a transition could see resistance from dissidents in exile seeking legitimacy.
The piece references a potential shift in strategy if leadership changes, including proposals like a new governance approach.
The analysis emphasizes that regime stability rests on a dense network of institutions, not just a single leader.
Experts outline that external shocks may accelerate change but won’t automatically topple the regime.
The article notes a range of opinions on Trump’s Iran policy, from aggressive pressure to potential deals.

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