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world16h ago
How Many Ballistic Missiles Is Russia Producing?
- Russian ballistic missile employment rose from 2025 to early 2026, with monthly strikes often above 40 missiles.
- Ukrainian assessments in 2024 overestimated production; procurement data point to a lower production ceiling.
- By mid-2026, combined 9M723 and Kh-47M2 production capacity was estimated at 500–700 units annually.
- In 2024, estimates suggested Russia launched no more than 200–250 9M723 and 50–70 Kh-47M2 missiles against Ukraine.
- Militarnyi data show a rising trend in missile strikes into 2026, with some months fluctuating due to supply chain issues.
- Ukrainian intelligence in 2026 indicated production around 60 9M723 missiles per month.
- The report notes that a large portion of produced missiles may be stockpiled or stored for longer-term use.
- The analysis stresses caution with CSIS data due to unreported or aggregated strikes.
- Western sanctions should tighten controls to prevent advanced components reaching Russian missiles.
- The piece argues supporting long-range defense for Europe is challenging due to interceptor limits and costs.
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