8legs: England and wales, uk

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Prison population in England and Wales to hit 100,000 'later than expected', figures show

Prison population in England and Wales is projected to reach about 100,600 by March 2030, later than previous forecasts.
The projection range for 2030 spans 98,000 to 103,600 prisoners, with the central figure at 100,600.
Policy changes, including early releases, are cited as factors affecting the projected counts.
There has been significant early-release activity aimed at tackling overcrowding, affecting counts.
MoJ projections acknowledge considerable uncertainty around key factors influencing outcomes.
Officials plan to build 14,000 new prison places by 2031 to address capacity issues.
The Sentencing Bill being debated may affect long-term capacity, but its effects are not yet reflected in projections.
The central estimate was previously forecast at 100,800 prisoners for March 2029, indicating a shift in timing.
MoJ notes future crime mix and police charging activity will heavily influence court intake and counts.
The news underscores ongoing pressures of prison capacity and the need for reforms.

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