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politics18h ago
Is regime change really possible in Iran?
- Analysts say Iran’s regime is built to handle shocks and has a clear transfer process for leadership after the current leader.
- Experts caution that regime change would require massive street pressure to topple the government.
- Analysts discuss the U.S. approach, weighing external shocks against possible negotiations with Iran’s leadership.
- Experts note most Israeli leaders see regime collapse in Iran as unlikely to be smoothly managed.
- Mojtaba Khamenei is widely tipped to be named successor if leadership changes occur.
- Observers warn a transition could see resistance from dissidents in exile seeking legitimacy.
- The piece references a potential shift in strategy if leadership changes, including proposals like a new governance approach.
- The analysis emphasizes that regime stability rests on a dense network of institutions, not just a single leader.
- Experts outline that external shocks may accelerate change but won’t automatically topple the regime.
- The article notes a range of opinions on Trump’s Iran policy, from aggressive pressure to potential deals.
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