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world16h ago
The global decline in murder, explained in one chart
- Global homicide rate fell from 6.9 to 5.2 per 100,000 people between 2000 and 2023, indicating a substantial decline.
- Total murders may rise with population growth, but the rate decline means fewer deaths per people overall.
- Improvements in state capacity, courts, and policing help explain the decline in violence globally.
- Aging populations are identified as a key factor in reducing violent crime over time.
- Regionally, violence remains concentrated in a few countries and cities despite global improvements.
- Policy choices around weapons and enforcement influence homicide trends.
- Demographic aging is a globally observed factor contributing to lower violence.
- The article frames the homicide decline as a 'narrative violation' challenging common beliefs about safety.
- Brazil's homicide rate fell to about 44,000 in 2024, the lowest since 2012.
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