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politics1d ago
US sees net negative migration for first time in decades amid Trump admin enforcement, economists say
- Brookings estimates net U.S. migration in 2025 ranged from –295,000 to –10,000, marking the first decline in decades.
- The report links reduced new arrivals and increased enforcement to a slower overall migration pace.
- The Brookings report projects low or negative migration for 2026 if restrictive policies continue.
- Analysts warn a slower migration pace could dampen labor force growth and GDP.
- The report contrasts Brookings’ estimate with CBO projections that show a positive 2025 net migration.
- The Brookings analysis highlights policy shifts under the current administration as a driver of migration trends.
- The study notes a significant slowdown in humanitarian parole and refugee program entries in 2025.
- Brookings warns that negative migration could persist into 2026 if trends continue.
- The Brookings study emphasizes potential broader effects on consumer spending if migration remains low.
- The findings arrive amid ongoing political debate over immigration policy and enforcement approaches.
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